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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+2.21vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.13+1.39vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.98-0.78vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41+2.54vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-0.06+0.62vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.84+1.20vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-2.23vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-1.60+0.46vs Predicted
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9Yale University-0.11-3.20vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.58-0.13vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.90-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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3.39University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
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2.22Salve Regina University1.980.4%1st Place
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6.54University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.62Fairfield University-0.060.1%1st Place
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7.2McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
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4.77Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.1%1st Place
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8.46Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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5.8Yale University-0.110.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.580.0%1st Place
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8.92Middlebury College-1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Robison | 18.0% | 20.9% | 20.8% | 18.0% | 12.3% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Gear | 17.7% | 18.8% | 20.0% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 38.4% | 27.3% | 17.8% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Brayer | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 6.3% | 1.3% |
| Davis Doherty | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Finn Bascio | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 4.7% |
| John Holt | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Graham Hughes | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 19.8% | 23.9% | 15.9% |
| Jacob Asher | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Abbey Rogers | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 19.3% | 54.5% |
| Acadia Hegedus | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 19.1% | 29.6% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.