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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+4.09vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+2.62vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.14+3.63vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.98+5.77vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77-0.08vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14+0.69vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.22-0.91vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.58-2.69vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.52-0.56vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.04-3.04vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.35-2.11vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-5.94vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.16-1.18vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-2.19-0.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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4.62Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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9.77University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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4.92Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.69Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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5.31George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.44Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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6.96Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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8.89Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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6.06St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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11.82Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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13.7William and Mary-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 12.4% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 15.5% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 23.5% | 15.8% | 1.8% |
| Gabby Rizika | 11.7% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Miranda Bakos | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 5.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 0.5% |
| Grace Howie | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 8.8% | 0.8% |
| Ellie Ungar | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 14.0% | 53.6% | 9.3% |
| Amy Hilla | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 7.8% | 86.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.