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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.14+5.49vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+3.92vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia0.98+6.60vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.58+1.41vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.22+1.46vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.04+1.00vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77-2.39vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.14-1.41vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.76-4.08vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-4.80vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.35-2.14vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.16-0.04vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.52-5.74vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-2.19-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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5.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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5.41George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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7.0Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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4.61Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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6.59Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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4.92Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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8.86Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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11.96Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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8.26Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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13.71William and Mary-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica McJones | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Katarina Catallo | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 16.4% | 23.6% | 14.5% | 1.5% |
| Miranda Bakos | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Grace Howie | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 15.5% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 12.9% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 11.0% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 18.7% | 8.0% | 0.4% |
| Haley Clemson | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 15.2% | 54.1% | 10.1% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hilla | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 7.5% | 87.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.