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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+4.13vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.14+4.35vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+1.83vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.22+2.41vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+1.25vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.58-0.65vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77-2.39vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia0.98+1.64vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.52-0.54vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.14-3.35vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.35-3.14vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.16-1.04vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.04-7.20vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-2.19-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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6.35U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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4.83Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.41University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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6.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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5.35George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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4.61Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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8.46Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.65Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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8.86Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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11.96Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.8Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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13.7William and Mary-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 14.4% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 14.9% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katarina Catallo | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 23.8% | 15.5% | 1.9% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 7.3% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 8.2% | 0.5% |
| Haley Clemson | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 15.6% | 53.7% | 10.2% |
| Grace Howie | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hilla | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 7.8% | 87.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.