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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+4.85vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.11+3.73vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.19+2.62vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.73+3.01vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.44+0.12vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-0.59vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.91-0.79vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.56-3.30vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.76-4.72vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.76-0.38vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.24+0.70vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.82-2.63vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.42-2.15vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.87-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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5.73Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.62Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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7.01Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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5.12University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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5.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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6.21Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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4.7U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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4.28George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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9.62Christopher Newport University0.760.0%1st Place
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11.7Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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11.85Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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12.53William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Bennett | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sebby Turner | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ava Esquier | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Brittney Slook | 15.0% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 15.9% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Reilly | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 18.3% | 9.6% | 4.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 11.5% | 22.1% | 26.5% | 21.1% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 10.0% | 18.3% | 29.2% | 25.1% |
| Audrey Fulk | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 22.5% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.