← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College1.97+2.39vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University0.50+5.32vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78+3.47vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University1.62+0.11vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University0.80+1.53vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley0.98+0.47vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College0.17+1.23vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College0.73-1.24vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University0.43-1.46vs Predicted
-
10University of New Hampshire-0.22-0.45vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-0.51vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont0.36-4.21vs Predicted
-
13Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-1.79vs Predicted
-
14The Citadel-0.41-3.24vs Predicted
-
15Northwestern University-1.85-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.39Boston College1.9724.2%1st Place
-
7.32Northeastern University0.505.5%1st Place
-
6.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.787.0%1st Place
-
4.11Harvard University1.6218.4%1st Place
-
6.53Tufts University0.807.1%1st Place
-
6.47University of California at Berkeley0.988.5%1st Place
-
8.23Dartmouth College0.175.1%1st Place
-
6.76Bowdoin College0.735.5%1st Place
-
7.54Tufts University0.435.2%1st Place
-
9.55University of New Hampshire-0.222.9%1st Place
-
10.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.691.9%1st Place
-
7.79University of Vermont0.364.6%1st Place
-
11.21Maine Maritime Academy-0.821.6%1st Place
-
10.76The Citadel-0.411.9%1st Place
-
13.37Northwestern University-1.850.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Joslin | 24.2% | 20.6% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Joey Richardson | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Kate Danielson | 18.4% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Schmidt | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Will Eggena | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Marykate Hanus | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 4.8% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 9.3% |
| Marco Welch | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Isaac Thompson | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 22.2% | 13.7% |
| Henry Parker | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 19.0% | 10.1% |
| Sean Bascoe | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 14.3% | 57.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.