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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.76+3.17vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+3.13vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.56+1.69vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.44+1.04vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+1.06vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.73+1.08vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.76+2.27vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.19-2.32vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.91-3.50vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.11-5.07vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.82-2.60vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.87-0.36vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.24-2.45vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-0.42-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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4.69U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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5.04University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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6.06St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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7.08Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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9.27Christopher Newport University0.760.0%1st Place
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5.68Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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6.5Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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5.93Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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12.64William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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11.55Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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11.86Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 16.2% | 18.6% | 14.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 14.5% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 10.8% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kaitlyn Reilly | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 19.7% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 2.5% |
| Lola Bushnell | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 19.9% | 15.4% | 9.1% | 2.6% |
| Audrey Fulk | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 13.3% | 22.2% | 48.2% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 10.6% | 22.0% | 25.0% | 21.3% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 11.0% | 16.9% | 29.1% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.