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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.23vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.76+2.07vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.44+2.01vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.11+1.95vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.73+2.08vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-0.02vs Predicted
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7Columbia University-0.24+4.42vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.19-2.31vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.91-2.44vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia0.82-0.53vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.42+0.99vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.76-0.51vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.76-4.56vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.56-10.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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4.07George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.01University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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5.95Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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7.08Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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5.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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11.42Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.69Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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6.56Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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9.47University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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11.99Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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12.49William and Mary-0.760.0%1st Place
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9.44Christopher Newport University0.760.0%1st Place
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4.61U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 9.6% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 17.4% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 13.3% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 8.0% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Jessica Bennett | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 20.1% | 25.0% | 20.1% |
| Lola Bushnell | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 20.0% | 16.3% | 8.4% | 3.7% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 18.1% | 26.4% | 29.3% |
| Alba Fernandez | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 13.3% | 25.7% | 42.8% |
| Kaitlyn Reilly | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 9.5% | 3.7% |
| Brittney Slook | 13.7% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.