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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.25vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.76+2.04vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.19+2.70vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.91+2.54vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+1.04vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.56-1.21vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.11-1.28vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.24+2.51vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.44-4.95vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.73-3.96vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.82-2.53vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.42-1.02vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.76-4.53vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.76-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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4.04George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.7Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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6.54Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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6.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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4.79U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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5.72Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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11.51Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.05University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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7.04Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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9.47University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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11.98Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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9.47Christopher Newport University0.760.0%1st Place
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12.4William and Mary-0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 18.3% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Brittney Slook | 13.5% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 23.5% | 24.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 9.2% | 3.8% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 20.2% | 27.8% | 27.0% |
| Kaitlyn Reilly | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 18.2% | 17.4% | 9.7% | 3.9% |
| Alba Fernandez | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 25.6% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.