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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.21+8.00vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.74+5.15vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+2.24vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.56+4.06vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.73+2.30vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.69+1.51vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.04-0.71vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.23+0.98vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.60-1.33vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.23-0.80vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-3.90vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-2.58vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.78-2.39vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.38-5.60vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.51-6.83vs Predicted
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16Williams College-2.40-0.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.0Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.15Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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5.24Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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7.3Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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7.51Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.29Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.98Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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7.67Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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9.2University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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7.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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10.61Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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8.4Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.17Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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15.92Williams College-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.7% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Franco Bilik | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Nash | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 0.4% |
| Stephen Duncan | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 0.3% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 21.9% | 0.9% |
| Dylan Farrell | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 0.4% |
| Alex Moreno | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Ruairi OCearuil | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 97.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.