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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+8.07vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+6.46vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+3.78vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+4.70vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.71+1.77vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.81+4.39vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.68+3.94vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-0.38vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.70+1.90vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.39-1.75vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.48-3.26vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.48-3.98vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-5.52vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.90-4.30vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.28-6.59vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.81-1.84vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.34-4.61vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.35-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.07Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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6.78Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.7College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.77Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.39Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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10.94U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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7.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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10.9University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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8.25Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.74Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.02Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.7Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.41Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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14.16Cornell University1.810.0%1st Place
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12.39University of Pennsylvania2.340.0%1st Place
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15.23George Washington University1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.1% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Sara Burke | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Hillary Noble | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Mayumi Roller | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Alison Love | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 19.7% | 24.3% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 10.3% |
| Julia Gardner | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 17.3% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.