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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+5.05vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.51+5.95vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+4.08vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.60+3.94vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.38+3.59vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.23+3.12vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+2.54vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.73-0.85vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.56-1.24vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.21-0.76vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.69-3.56vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.33-6.74vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.23-3.92vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.78-3.45vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.74-7.67vs Predicted
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16Williams College-2.40-0.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.95Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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7.94Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.59Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.12Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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7.15Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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7.76University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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9.24Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.44Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.26Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.08University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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10.55Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.33Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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15.93Williams College-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Duncan | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 0.1% |
| Richie Gordon | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 0.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 0.4% |
| Franco Bilik | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.7% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 0.6% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 21.5% | 0.8% |
| Drake Lyon | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Ruairi OCearuil | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 97.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.