← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.73+6.15vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.56+5.75vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.04+3.18vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.38+4.72vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.23+4.11vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.51+2.11vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.74+0.34vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.78+2.50vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.33-3.80vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont2.23-0.85vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University2.21-1.82vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-4.92vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-3.60vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University2.60-6.35vs Predicted
-
15Brown University2.69-7.46vs Predicted
-
16Williams College-2.40-0.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.15Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
-
7.75University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
-
6.18Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
-
8.72Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
-
9.11Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
8.11Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
-
7.34Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
-
10.5Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
-
5.2Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
9.15University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
-
9.18Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
-
7.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
-
9.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
-
7.65Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
-
7.54Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
-
15.92Williams College-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Petrovic | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Alp Rodopman | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 0.2% |
| Alex Moreno | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 22.1% | 0.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.4% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 0.5% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Duncan | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 0.5% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Ruairi OCearuil | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 97.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.