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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+5.04vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+5.00vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.74+4.21vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.23+5.27vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.21+4.19vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.69+1.53vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.56+0.96vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.33-2.91vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.38-0.54vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.23-0.82vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-1.60vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.73-4.69vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.51-4.96vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.78-3.45vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.60-7.15vs Predicted
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16Williams College-2.40-0.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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7.21Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.19Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.53Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.96University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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5.09Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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8.46Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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7.31Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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8.04Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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10.55Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.85Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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15.92Williams College-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Duncan | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Drake Lyon | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 0.3% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 0.2% |
| Franco Bilik | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 0.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 16.1% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Nash | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 0.4% |
| Richie Gordon | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Alex Moreno | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 13.6% | 22.3% | 0.7% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Ruairi OCearuil | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 97.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.