← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.04+5.06vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.74+5.15vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.38+5.54vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.33+1.36vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.23+4.13vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.51+2.16vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.73+0.37vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-1.05vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University2.60-1.32vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.56-2.04vs Predicted
-
11Brown University2.69-3.52vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.78-1.40vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University2.21-3.86vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.23-5.02vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-5.48vs Predicted
-
16Williams College-2.40-0.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.06Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
-
7.15Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
-
8.54Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
-
5.36Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
9.13Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
8.16Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
-
7.37Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
-
6.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
-
7.68Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
-
7.96University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
-
7.48Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
-
10.6Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
-
9.14Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
-
8.98University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
-
9.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
-
15.92Williams College-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Farrell | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 0.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.6% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 0.3% |
| Alex Moreno | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Duncan | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| Franco Bilik | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 22.7% | 0.6% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Nash | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 0.4% |
| Richie Gordon | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Ruairi OCearuil | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 97.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.