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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.44+2.07vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.52+0.83vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.41+0.11vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.59+0.64vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.70-0.61vs Predicted
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6Bates College-1.72+0.32vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-1.93vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.84-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Bowdoin College0.4422.1%1st Place
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2.83Bowdoin College0.5225.6%1st Place
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3.11Maine Maritime Academy0.4121.3%1st Place
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4.64Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.598.8%1st Place
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4.39Bates College-0.709.8%1st Place
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6.32Bates College-1.722.8%1st Place
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5.07Maine Maritime Academy-0.826.9%1st Place
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6.58Bates College-1.842.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Brett | 22.1% | 20.3% | 20.1% | 17.0% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Kique Ruiz | 25.6% | 23.7% | 20.0% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Henri Richardsson | 21.3% | 21.0% | 18.8% | 17.2% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Diaz | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 14.5% | 5.4% |
| Colby Green | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.6% |
| Colin Kenny | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 27.6% | 33.7% |
| Isaac Thompson | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 21.9% | 16.9% | 10.0% |
| Ryan Wiliani | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 22.4% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.