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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.40+6.25vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+2.87vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+6.27vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.50+3.22vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.75+1.26vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.72+0.41vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.74+2.68vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.68-1.67vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.57+3.79vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.47-2.77vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.20-2.94vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-2.56vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.69-3.29vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.90-8.39vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.66-4.98vs Predicted
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16Williams College-2.24-0.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.87Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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7.22Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.26Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.41University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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9.68University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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6.33Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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12.79Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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7.23Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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9.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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9.71Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.61Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.02Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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15.85Williams College-2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 15.7% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 0.2% |
| Jonas Nelle | 6.7% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Casey Cabot | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 0.3% |
| Preston Duclos | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 13.9% | 45.5% | 3.9% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Keller | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 0.2% |
| Brian Baker | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 9.4% | 0.1% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 94.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.