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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+3.77vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.40+5.28vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.47+4.19vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.20+4.29vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.68+1.50vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.72+0.41vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.75-0.70vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.69+1.67vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.90-3.30vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.74-0.29vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-1.62vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.66-2.10vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.50-6.00vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-4.84vs Predicted
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15Williams College-2.24+0.74vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.57-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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7.28Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.19Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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8.29Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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6.5Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.41University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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6.3Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.67Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.7Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.71University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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9.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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9.9Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.0Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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15.74Williams College-2.240.0%1st Place
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13.0Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 16.0% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Casey Cabot | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian Baker | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 0.5% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 0.3% |
| Kurran Singh | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 0.2% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 94.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 15.2% | 45.7% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.