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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.66+8.76vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+2.87vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.47+4.15vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.50+3.21vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.40+2.44vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.72+0.37vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.68-0.49vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.74+1.52vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.90-3.30vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.75-3.75vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-1.79vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.57+0.84vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.20-4.95vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-4.66vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.69-5.09vs Predicted
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16Williams College-2.51-0.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.76Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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4.87Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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7.15Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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7.21Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.37University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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6.51Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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5.7Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.25Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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12.84Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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8.05Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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9.91Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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15.88Williams College-2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurran Singh | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 9.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 15.2% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jonas Nelle | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Schneider | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Casey Cabot | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Palmer | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 47.2% | 3.8% |
| Christopher Keller | 4.8% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 6.5% | 0.3% |
| Brian Baker | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 0.1% |
| Jamie Vaccaro | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.7% | 95.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.