Race 4B

veitor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Tanya Cuprak 23.2% 19.7% 16.9% 13.1% 12.1% 7.4% 3.6% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Matt Johnson 10.8% 12.5% 12.3% 12.4% 12.9% 12.2% 11.0% 8.4% 5.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Mackenzie Spencer 13.7% 11.3% 12.3% 11.2% 13.3% 11.7% 12.0% 7.5% 4.3% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Nikolas Osvalds 11.2% 12.8% 13.5% 12.3% 11.3% 14.1% 9.4% 8.4% 3.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Rebecca Jackson 11.6% 11.1% 12.2% 12.2% 11.7% 11.7% 10.9% 8.6% 6.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.0%
John Joseph 3.9% 2.8% 5.2% 6.4% 6.4% 6.9% 10.7% 14.0% 18.5% 13.8% 9.3% 2.1%
Sean Andrew 4.9% 6.3% 6.3% 8.2% 8.8% 8.3% 11.5% 15.7% 13.9% 9.7% 4.5% 1.9%
Robert Keller 4.1% 3.7% 3.2% 5.9% 5.6% 7.9% 9.5% 11.7% 16.9% 18.2% 9.8% 3.5%
Natalie Salk 13.0% 15.6% 14.0% 13.7% 11.5% 11.6% 9.5% 6.5% 3.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Marshall McLean 1.8% 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 3.2% 3.7% 6.9% 7.3% 14.3% 20.3% 20.7% 14.6%
Christopher Calahan 1.2% 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 2.0% 2.7% 5.4% 6.2% 13.2% 29.2% 35.9%
Patrick Morrissey 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 1.0% 2.0% 2.5% 2.3% 4.1% 6.1% 13.7% 24.0% 42.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.