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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.85+5.92vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.01+7.08vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+7.45vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.71+1.83vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.84+1.00vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.17-1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.12+4.60vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.97-2.25vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.15-1.31vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22-0.96vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.24+0.44vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-2.56vs Predicted
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13Boston College-0.06-0.82vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-6.14vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-4.35vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.48-2.66vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University0.49-6.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92Brown University1.858.2%1st Place
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9.08Tufts University1.014.3%1st Place
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10.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.2%1st Place
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5.83Dartmouth College1.7110.5%1st Place
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6.0Bowdoin College1.8410.3%1st Place
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4.84Harvard University2.1715.5%1st Place
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11.6University of Rhode Island0.122.1%1st Place
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5.75Roger Williams University1.9712.7%1st Place
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7.69Tufts University1.156.2%1st Place
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9.04Northeastern University1.224.6%1st Place
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11.44University of Vermont0.242.1%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.8%1st Place
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12.18Boston College-0.062.1%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.816.5%1st Place
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10.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.323.1%1st Place
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13.34Boston University-0.481.6%1st Place
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10.87Roger Williams University0.493.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% |
| bella casaretto | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.5% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 11.3% |
| Lucy Meagher | 12.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 16.8% |
| Emma Wang | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 6.7% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 31.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.