← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.48+6.77vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+6.47vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania2.34+9.49vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College3.71+2.67vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+2.60vs Predicted
-
6Boston College3.48+1.62vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.18+1.85vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida2.70+2.76vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University1.81+5.05vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College2.90+0.25vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston3.20-2.11vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University3.39-3.61vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy2.68-2.24vs Predicted
-
14Yale University3.74-7.58vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-7.29vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University3.28-7.44vs Predicted
-
17Harvard University2.81-6.49vs Predicted
-
18George Washington University1.35-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.77Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
-
12.49University of Pennsylvania2.340.0%1st Place
-
6.67Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
7.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
-
7.62Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.85Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
10.76University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
-
14.05Cornell University1.810.0%1st Place
-
10.25Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
-
8.89College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
-
8.39Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
-
10.76U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
-
6.42Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
7.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
-
8.56Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
-
10.51Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
-
15.23George Washington University1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Salk | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 9.8% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Mayumi Roller | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Hillary Noble | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 4.4% |
| Alison Love | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 19.1% | 24.3% |
| Emilie Mademann | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Morgan Wilson | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Sara Burke | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Crane | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Julia Gardner | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 16.6% | 43.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.