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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.44+2.10vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.41+1.13vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.52-0.20vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.59+0.64vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.70-0.65vs Predicted
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6Bates College-1.72+0.42vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.84-0.49vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Bowdoin College0.4422.1%1st Place
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3.13Maine Maritime Academy0.4121.4%1st Place
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2.8Bowdoin College0.5225.9%1st Place
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4.64Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.598.8%1st Place
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4.35Bates College-0.709.4%1st Place
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6.42Bates College-1.723.2%1st Place
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6.51Bates College-1.842.7%1st Place
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5.05Maine Maritime Academy-0.826.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Brett | 22.1% | 20.7% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 21.4% | 19.2% | 19.7% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Kique Ruiz | 25.9% | 25.1% | 18.2% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Diaz | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 5.9% |
| Colby Green | 9.4% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 17.6% | 10.7% | 3.9% |
| Colin Kenny | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 26.1% | 37.1% |
| Ryan Wiliani | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 23.0% | 42.1% |
| Isaac Thompson | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 20.1% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.