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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.48+4.95vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.59+3.49vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.31+3.53vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+5.64vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.78+3.55vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.94+1.93vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39+2.83vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.57+1.27vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.12-1.79vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.14+0.75vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-5.01vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.37-5.38vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.02-5.08vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.74-5.36vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.44-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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5.49Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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6.53Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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8.55University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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7.93Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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9.83Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.27Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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7.21Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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10.75Northeastern University1.140.0%1st Place
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5.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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6.62Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.92Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Walden | 12.3% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Riggs | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 13.1% |
| Christopher Pearson | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Caroline King | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 13.3% |
| Martin Tipton | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| David Zymba | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 21.9% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Peter Neal | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Nate Peck | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% |
| Lindsay Powers | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.