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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.12+6.23vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.57+7.10vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.31+3.57vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.94+3.89vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+4.73vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.48-0.01vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-1.18vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.74+0.69vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.14+1.65vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.59-4.24vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.44-1.29vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.78-3.20vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.37-6.33vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.02-6.42vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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9.1Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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6.57Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.89Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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9.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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5.99Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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8.69University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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10.65Northeastern University1.140.0%1st Place
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5.76Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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9.71Tufts University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.8University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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6.67Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.58Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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9.83Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Puopolo | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| Martin Tipton | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% |
| Kyle Riggs | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 13.2% |
| Julien Guiot | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| Nate Peck | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% |
| David Zymba | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 20.4% |
| Thomas Walden | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Lindsay Powers | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 14.4% |
| Christopher Pearson | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% |
| Peter Neal | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Caroline King | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.