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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.48+4.95vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.59+3.48vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.37+3.26vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+1.86vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+5.36vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.31+0.57vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.74+1.56vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.78+0.48vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.02-1.47vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.57-0.71vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.39-1.14vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.44-2.04vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.14-2.17vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.12-6.81vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.94-7.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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5.48Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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6.26Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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10.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.0%1st Place
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6.57Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.56University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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7.53Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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9.29Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.86Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.96Tufts University1.440.0%1st Place
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10.83Northeastern University1.140.0%1st Place
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7.19Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.82Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Walden | 11.8% | 14.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Peter Neal | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Charles Lindsay | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 18.5% |
| Kyle Riggs | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Nate Peck | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 5.0% |
| Christopher Pearson | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Martin Tipton | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.5% |
| Caroline King | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 14.5% |
| Lindsay Powers | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.3% |
| David Zymba | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 22.1% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.