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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.52+1.85vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.44+1.10vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.70+1.40vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.41-0.89vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.59-0.40vs Predicted
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6Bates College-1.72+0.41vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-1.98vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.84-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Bowdoin College0.5226.1%1st Place
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3.1Bowdoin College0.4421.1%1st Place
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4.4Bates College-0.7010.1%1st Place
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3.11Maine Maritime Academy0.4122.1%1st Place
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4.6Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.599.0%1st Place
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6.41Bates College-1.722.8%1st Place
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5.02Maine Maritime Academy-0.826.4%1st Place
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6.51Bates College-1.842.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kique Ruiz | 26.1% | 22.4% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Brett | 21.1% | 21.4% | 20.1% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Colby Green | 10.1% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 4.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 22.1% | 20.3% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Diaz | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 19.2% | 13.8% | 5.1% |
| Colin Kenny | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 26.1% | 37.3% |
| Isaac Thompson | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 20.5% | 17.7% | 9.2% |
| Ryan Wiliani | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 23.5% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.