← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.71+9.82vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.18+6.95vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.48+4.66vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+3.50vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College3.71+1.56vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.81+4.30vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+0.53vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College2.90+1.81vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.48-1.59vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-1.58vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University3.39-2.98vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston3.20-2.99vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy2.68-2.38vs Predicted
-
14University of Pennsylvania2.34-2.15vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida2.70-4.28vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University1.35-0.66vs Predicted
-
17Yale University3.74-10.33vs Predicted
-
18Cornell University1.81-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.82Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
-
8.95Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
-
7.66Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
7.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
-
6.56Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
10.3Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
-
7.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
-
9.81Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
-
7.41Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
-
8.02Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
-
9.01College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.62U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
-
11.85University of Pennsylvania2.340.0%1st Place
-
10.72University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
-
15.34George Washington University1.350.0%1st Place
-
6.67Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
13.83Cornell University1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Kelly Crane | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Mayumi Roller | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Sara Burke | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.9% |
| Hillary Noble | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% |
| Julia Gardner | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 16.8% | 44.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alison Love | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 19.7% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.