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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+4.76vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.94+5.69vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.12+4.13vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.31+2.53vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.48+1.09vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.37+0.33vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.44+2.55vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.14+2.65vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.74-0.45vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.02-2.24vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.78-2.50vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.59-6.16vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.57-3.56vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-4.18vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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7.69Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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7.13Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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6.53Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.09Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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6.33Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.55Tufts University1.440.0%1st Place
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10.65Northeastern University1.140.0%1st Place
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8.55University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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7.76Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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8.5University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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5.84Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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9.44Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.82Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Widmeier | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Kyle Riggs | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Julien Guiot | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Peter Neal | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Lindsay Powers | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% |
| David Zymba | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 21.4% |
| Nate Peck | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Christopher Pearson | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% |
| Thomas Walden | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Martin Tipton | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% |
| Caroline King | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 12.9% |
| Charles Lindsay | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.