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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+4.80vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.31+4.42vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.48+2.90vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.59+1.63vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.78+3.53vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.37+0.32vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.94+0.88vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.12-0.73vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.44+0.58vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.74-1.32vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.02-3.42vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21-1.36vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.14-2.18vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-4.22vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.57-5.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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6.42Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.9Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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5.63Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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6.32Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.88Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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9.58Tufts University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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7.58Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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10.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.0%1st Place
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10.82Northeastern University1.140.0%1st Place
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9.78Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.16Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Widmeier | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Kyle Riggs | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Julien Guiot | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Walden | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Pearson | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| Peter Neal | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% |
| Lindsay Powers | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% |
| Nate Peck | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| Charles Lindsay | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 19.0% |
| David Zymba | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 21.9% |
| Caroline King | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 12.3% |
| Martin Tipton | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.