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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.44+2.03vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.52+0.85vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy-0.82+2.09vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.41-0.86vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.59-0.41vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.70-1.66vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.72-0.66vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.84-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Bowdoin College0.4423.3%1st Place
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2.85Bowdoin College0.5225.4%1st Place
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5.09Maine Maritime Academy-0.826.3%1st Place
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3.14Maine Maritime Academy0.4120.7%1st Place
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4.59Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.598.8%1st Place
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4.34Bates College-0.7010.0%1st Place
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6.34Bates College-1.722.9%1st Place
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6.61Bates College-1.842.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Brett | 23.3% | 20.2% | 19.8% | 16.4% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Kique Ruiz | 25.4% | 22.1% | 20.0% | 15.5% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Isaac Thompson | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 21.7% | 19.0% | 8.9% |
| Henri Richardsson | 20.7% | 22.4% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Diaz | 8.8% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 18.2% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 5.5% |
| Colby Green | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 10.9% | 3.6% |
| Colin Kenny | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 26.2% | 36.0% |
| Ryan Wiliani | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 12.3% | 22.8% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.