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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+7.92vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+5.77vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.70+7.98vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+3.39vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.71+5.55vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74+0.51vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.71-0.41vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.20+0.54vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.34+3.14vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.81+0.51vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-3.21vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.39-3.75vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.90-3.27vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.81-0.34vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.68-4.28vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-7.76vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.35-1.61vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.48-10.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.92Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.77Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.98University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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7.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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10.55Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.51Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.59Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.54College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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12.14University of Pennsylvania2.340.0%1st Place
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10.51Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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8.25Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.73Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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13.66Cornell University1.810.0%1st Place
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10.72U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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8.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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15.39George Washington University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.3Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Briana Provancha | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Hillary Noble | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.2% |
| Mayumi Roller | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 7.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 3.2% |
| Kelly Crane | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% |
| Morgan Wilson | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Alison Love | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 18.3% | 22.6% |
| Sara Burke | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Julia Gardner | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 14.9% | 46.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.