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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+9.65vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+4.35vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.80+5.43vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.72+4.66vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.72+3.80vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.45+3.75vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.80+1.33vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.16-0.97vs Predicted
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9Cornell University3.14-2.36vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.27+0.49vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.94+1.03vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.85vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.63+0.15vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.09-2.46vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.14-3.99vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-4.81vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-5.80vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.89-5.82vs Predicted
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19Washington College1.26-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.65Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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6.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.43University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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8.66George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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8.8Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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9.75Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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7.03Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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6.64Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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10.49University of South Florida2.270.0%1st Place
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12.03University of Rhode Island1.940.0%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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13.15Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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11.54University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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11.01SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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11.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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11.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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12.18Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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14.42Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Liam McCarthy | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 5.7% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Roberto Stevens | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| John Whitehead | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Matthew Schryver | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% |
| Maxwell Brill | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 15.8% |
| August Sturm | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| John Lawless | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 8.4% |
| Paul Hart | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.