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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.48+6.70vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.39+6.09vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+4.72vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.71+6.51vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20+3.64vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74+0.53vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+0.56vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.68+2.74vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.34+3.14vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-1.62vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.81+3.02vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.70-0.93vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.18-4.41vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.48-6.72vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.71-8.42vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.90-6.06vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.81-6.64vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.35-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.09Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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10.51Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.64College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.53Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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10.74U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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12.14University of Pennsylvania2.340.0%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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14.02Cornell University1.810.0%1st Place
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11.07University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.28Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.58Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.94Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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10.36Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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15.15George Washington University1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Salk | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Wilson | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Mayumi Roller | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.2% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Crane | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Sara Burke | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 7.9% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Alison Love | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 26.8% |
| Hillary Noble | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 3.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Julia Gardner | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 16.9% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.