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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy0.41+2.19vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.70+2.43vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.44+0.06vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy-0.82+1.08vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.52-2.22vs Predicted
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6Bates College-1.72+0.36vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.59-2.41vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.84-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Maine Maritime Academy0.4120.3%1st Place
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4.43Bates College-0.708.9%1st Place
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3.06Bowdoin College0.4422.6%1st Place
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5.08Maine Maritime Academy-0.826.5%1st Place
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2.78Bowdoin College0.5226.6%1st Place
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6.36Bates College-1.722.9%1st Place
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4.59Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.599.7%1st Place
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6.53Bates College-1.842.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henri Richardsson | 20.3% | 21.1% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Colby Green | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 11.7% | 4.7% |
| Sophie Brett | 22.6% | 19.9% | 19.5% | 17.6% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Isaac Thompson | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 20.2% | 18.8% | 10.0% |
| Kique Ruiz | 26.6% | 23.9% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Colin Kenny | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 25.5% | 35.9% |
| Matthew Diaz | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 6.5% |
| Ryan Wiliani | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 23.9% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.