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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.14+5.87vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.80+6.37vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.16+3.87vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.72+4.59vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+1.48vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.72+2.59vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.63+6.39vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+3.50vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.27+1.37vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.89+2.20vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.80-2.74vs Predicted
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12Hampton University2.26-0.91vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-5.36vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.45-4.08vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.26-0.49vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-4.81vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.14-5.81vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.94-5.99vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan2.09-8.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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6.87Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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8.59Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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6.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.59George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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13.39Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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11.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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10.37University of South Florida2.270.0%1st Place
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12.2Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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8.26University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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11.09Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.92Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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14.51Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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11.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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11.19SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Rhode Island1.940.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Uhl | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Roberto Stevens | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Liam McCarthy | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 15.7% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| John Whitehead | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Spencer Charney | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% |
| Thomas Harden | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% |
| Maxwell Brill | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Paul Hart | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 31.3% |
| Alexander Bowen | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| John Lawless | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Matthew Schryver | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% |
| August Sturm | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.