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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+5.22vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.72+6.51vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.80+5.28vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.27+6.48vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan2.09+6.57vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.89+5.96vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.26+3.57vs Predicted
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8Cornell University3.14-1.01vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.80-1.02vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.45-0.44vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.94+0.84vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.14-0.58vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.63+0.02vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.88-6.09vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.16-8.32vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.26-1.46vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-3.61vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-6.99vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College2.72-10.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.51George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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8.28University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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10.48University of South Florida2.270.0%1st Place
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11.57University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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11.96Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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10.57Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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6.99Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.98University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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9.56Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Rhode Island1.940.0%1st Place
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11.42SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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13.02Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.68Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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14.54Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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13.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.0%1st Place
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11.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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8.07Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam McCarthy | 10.5% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| John Whitehead | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| August Sturm | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% |
| Spencer Charney | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Clark Uhl | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Harden | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Schryver | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% |
| John Lawless | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.5% |
| Maxwell Brill | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Roberto Stevens | 10.7% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Paul Hart | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 26.7% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 16.6% |
| Alexander Bowen | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.