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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.80+7.21vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.14+4.83vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.63+10.26vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+2.16vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan2.09+6.52vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.72+2.42vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.26+3.56vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.16-1.07vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.27+1.26vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.45-0.41vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.80-2.88vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.94vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-2.05vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.94-1.89vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.14-4.11vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-2.60vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.89-4.91vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.72-9.61vs Predicted
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19Washington College1.26-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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6.83Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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13.26Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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6.16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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11.52University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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8.42Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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10.56Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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6.93Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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10.26University of South Florida2.270.0%1st Place
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9.59Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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12.11University of Rhode Island1.940.0%1st Place
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10.89SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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13.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.0%1st Place
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12.09Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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8.39George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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14.26Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Harden | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Clark Uhl | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 16.6% |
| Liam McCarthy | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| August Sturm | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Roberto Stevens | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| John Whitehead | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Brill | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Bowen | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Matthew Schryver | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% |
| John Lawless | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 15.7% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Paul Hart | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.