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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.80+6.70vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+8.11vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.39vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.14+6.63vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.32+5.07vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.43+3.30vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.63+5.96vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.72+0.28vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.16+1.30vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.45-0.92vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.80-3.39vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.89+0.12vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-2.54vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.09-3.04vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-7.97vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-5.41vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.94-5.50vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.26-3.66vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida2.27-9.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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10.11Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.63SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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10.07George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.3Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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12.96Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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8.28Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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10.3Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.08Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.61University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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12.12Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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10.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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7.03St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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11.5University of Rhode Island1.940.0%1st Place
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14.34Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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9.57University of South Florida2.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Floyd | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Maxwell Brill | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| John Lawless | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% |
| Phillip Schofield | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 14.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Thomas Harden | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% |
| Alexander Bowen | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% |
| August Sturm | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% |
| Lewis Cooper | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% |
| Matthew Schryver | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% |
| Paul Hart | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 26.7% |
| John Whitehead | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.