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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.34+11.29vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+6.85vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.48+4.71vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+4.60vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+2.45vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.71+0.63vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+0.60vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.48-0.55vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.68+1.80vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.81+0.57vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.90-0.98vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.39-3.76vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.74-6.65vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-6.12vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.71-4.40vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.70-5.23vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.81-2.92vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.35-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.29University of Pennsylvania2.340.0%1st Place
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8.85College of Charleston3.200.0%1st Place
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7.71Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.6Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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6.63Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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7.45Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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10.57Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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10.02Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.24Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.35Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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10.6Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.77University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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14.08Cornell University1.810.0%1st Place
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15.12George Washington University1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kofmehl | 2.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 12.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Mayumi Roller | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Crane | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.4% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Sara Burke | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 3.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| Hillary Noble | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% |
| Alison Love | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 19.7% | 24.9% |
| Julia Gardner | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 18.1% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.