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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.16+9.61vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+8.11vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.63+9.94vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+3.07vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.80+2.95vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.80+1.67vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.72+1.08vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.32+2.07vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+1.49vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.78vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.45-1.86vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.09-0.77vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.43-3.94vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.14-3.27vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.27-5.08vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-5.46vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.94-5.45vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.89-6.37vs Predicted
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19Washington College1.26-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.61Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.11Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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12.94Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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7.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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7.95University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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7.67University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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8.08Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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10.07George Washington University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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7.22U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.14Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.23University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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9.06Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.73SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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9.92University of South Florida2.270.1%1st Place
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10.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Rhode Island1.940.0%1st Place
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11.63Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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13.98Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Snyder | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 16.4% |
| Lewis Cooper | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Harden | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Wade Wagner | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Alexander Bowen | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
| Maxwell Brill | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| August Sturm | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% |
| Phillip Schofield | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| John Lawless | 4.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| John Whitehead | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% |
| Matthew Schryver | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% |
| Spencer Charney | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% |
| Paul Hart | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.