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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+6.16vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+5.00vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.14+7.56vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.72+3.82vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.26+5.21vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.43+3.11vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.94+4.46vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.80-0.17vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.16+1.19vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+0.51vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.63+1.76vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.45-2.55vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.89-1.64vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.80-6.34vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.32-5.45vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-5.53vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.68-4.54vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan2.09-7.43vs Predicted
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19Washington College1.26-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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10.56SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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7.82Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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10.21Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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9.11Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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11.46University of Rhode Island1.940.0%1st Place
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7.83University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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10.19Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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10.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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12.76Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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9.45Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.36Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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9.55George Washington University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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12.46University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
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10.57University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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13.88Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Brill | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Lewis Cooper | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| John Lawless | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Phillip Schofield | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% |
| Matthew Schryver | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Spencer Charney | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% |
| Thomas Harden | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Wade Wagner | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Alexander Bowen | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Brett Putnam | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 13.1% |
| August Sturm | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% |
| Paul Hart | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.