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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+4.83vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.25+3.73vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.71+4.80vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.68+3.83vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.82+2.50vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University2.31+3.28vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.80+0.35vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.42+5.23vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.95+1.71vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-0.44vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.44+1.96vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.05-1.19vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.11-3.03vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-2.34vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.28-1.71vs Predicted
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16Hampton University1.08-1.85vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.16-7.08vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania3.12-11.99vs Predicted
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19Washington College0.23-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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5.73U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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7.8Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.83George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.5Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.28Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.35University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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13.23Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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10.71Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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9.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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12.96SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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10.81University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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9.97Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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13.29University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
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14.15Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.92University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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6.01University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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16.41Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Connor Bayless | 12.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Matt Logue | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Aidan naughton | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.4% |
| Samuel Shannon | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 7.3% |
| Colin Richards | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Luke Welker | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Connor Goulet | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 11.1% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 15.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 12.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.