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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.68+6.91vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+3.87vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.71+4.82vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.16+6.06vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.05+5.69vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.82+1.21vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.11+3.29vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.98vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University2.31+0.14vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.80-2.76vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.12-4.85vs Predicted
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12Hampton University1.08+2.56vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.95-2.36vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.44-0.95vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.25-9.32vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.28-2.60vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.23-0.45vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.84-6.83vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University1.42-6.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.91George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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7.82Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.06University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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10.69University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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7.21Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.29Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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9.14Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.24University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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14.56Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.64Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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13.05SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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5.68U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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13.4University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
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16.55Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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11.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.840.0%1st Place
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12.58Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Logue | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 12.1% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Colin Richards | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Aidan naughton | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 16.4% |
| Samuel Shannon | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Aidan Molesky | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 7.4% |
| Connor Bayless | 13.6% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Goulet | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 10.2% |
| Andrew Vernon | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 49.3% |
| Kieran Cullen | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Chris Colbeth | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.