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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.05+9.55vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.11+8.31vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.80+4.47vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.95+6.98vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.16+5.35vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.78+5.45vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania3.12-0.85vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.08+6.45vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.05+1.32vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-4.39vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+0.59vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.25-6.14vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University2.31-3.85vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.68-5.96vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.05-4.62vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.71-8.40vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-7.33vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.28-4.41vs Predicted
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19Washington College0.23-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.55Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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10.31Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.47University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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10.98Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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10.35University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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11.45Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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6.15University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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14.45Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.32SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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5.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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11.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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9.15Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.04George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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10.38University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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7.6Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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13.59University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
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16.49Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Aidan naughton | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Shannon | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 18.5% | 18.8% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Welker | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 2.8% |
| Connor Bayless | 12.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Matt Logue | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Colin Richards | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Matt Cappetta | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Connor Goulet | 2.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 11.8% |
| Andrew Vernon | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 14.2% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.