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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.12+5.11vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.71+5.73vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.68+4.97vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+7.66vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+0.97vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University2.31+3.35vs Predicted
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7Hampton University1.08+7.33vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.25-2.11vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+0.50vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.28+3.54vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.05-0.46vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.05-1.10vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.11-3.02vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.05-3.41vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.78-3.57vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.95-5.14vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.80-9.68vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.23-1.26vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida2.16-9.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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7.73Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.97George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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11.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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5.97St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.35Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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14.33Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.89U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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9.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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13.54University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
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10.54University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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10.9Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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9.98Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.59SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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11.43Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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10.86Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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7.32University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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16.74Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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9.59University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph LaForgia | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Matt Logue | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Luke Welker | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 19.5% | 16.1% |
| Connor Bayless | 13.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Connor Goulet | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 10.7% |
| Colin Richards | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| Samuel Shannon | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Vernon | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 49.8% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.