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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.63+6.93vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.25+3.64vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.05+7.42vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.11+6.19vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.60+3.26vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.05+4.32vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-1.26vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.42+5.13vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.95+1.61vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University2.31-0.83vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.16-1.08vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.80-4.47vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.05-2.81vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.12-7.83vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.28-1.73vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-4.58vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-7.50vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.23-1.30vs Predicted
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19Hampton University1.08-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.93George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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5.64U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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10.42SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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10.19Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.26Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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10.32University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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5.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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13.13Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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10.61Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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9.17Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.92University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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7.53University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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10.19Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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6.17University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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13.27University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
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11.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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9.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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16.7Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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13.88Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Feves | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Connor Bayless | 14.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Brad Seferian | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Colin Richards | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 12.4% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 9.4% |
| Samuel Shannon | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Aidan naughton | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Connor Goulet | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 11.5% |
| Luke Welker | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Vernon | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 48.3% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.