← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College2.05+9.03vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University2.31+7.01vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University2.60+4.83vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.05+5.65vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy3.25+0.25vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College2.05+3.82vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-1.61vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University2.63-0.56vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania3.12-3.34vs Predicted
-
10Hampton University1.08+3.64vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-1.77vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.80-4.83vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-2.33vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.42-1.98vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College1.95-4.76vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan1.28-3.18vs Predicted
-
17Washington College0.23-1.24vs Predicted
-
18Cornell University2.11-8.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.03Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
-
9.01Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
-
7.83Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
-
9.65University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
-
5.25U. S. Naval Academy3.250.2%1st Place
-
9.82SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
-
5.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
7.44George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
-
5.66University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
-
13.64Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
-
9.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
-
7.17University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
-
10.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
-
12.02Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
-
10.24Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
-
12.82University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
-
15.76Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
-
9.35Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Gurnell | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Brad Seferian | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Colin Richards | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% |
| Connor Bayless | 15.2% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Feves | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 10.7% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 20.7% | 15.9% |
| Frank Reeg | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 9.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Luke Welker | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 6.3% |
| Samuel Shannon | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Connor Goulet | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 11.5% |
| Andrew Vernon | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 51.4% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.