← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University-0.58+2.83vs Predicted
-
2Fairfield University0.42+0.07vs Predicted
-
3University of New Hampshire-1.41+2.34vs Predicted
-
4Fairfield University-0.82+0.48vs Predicted
-
5Sacred Heart University-1.44+0.50vs Predicted
-
6McGill University-1.59-0.30vs Predicted
-
7Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.23-2.00vs Predicted
-
8University of Minnesota-0.49-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.83Salve Regina University-0.5814.6%1st Place
-
2.07Fairfield University0.4242.4%1st Place
-
5.34University of New Hampshire-1.415.8%1st Place
-
4.48Fairfield University-0.828.3%1st Place
-
5.5Sacred Heart University-1.445.1%1st Place
-
5.7McGill University-1.594.3%1st Place
-
5.0Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.237.6%1st Place
-
4.08University of Minnesota-0.4911.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilia Perriera | 14.6% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 42.4% | 28.6% | 15.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Devyn Weed | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 20.4% |
| Michael Cunniff | 8.3% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 8.3% |
| Emma Giedraitis | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 22.1% |
| Isabelle Ouimet | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 18.8% | 25.7% |
| Samuel Honor | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 15.0% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 11.8% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.