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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.8%
Within 2 Positions
6.2
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.64+11.00vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.69+9.04vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine2.83+13.90vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy3.79+7.18vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego2.19+15.22vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.05+3.55vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.89-1.06vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44+4.74vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.73+7.98vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University2.22+9.84vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-4.91vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-4.99vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon2.51+5.11vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California3.16+0.31vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.62-3.23vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University4.01-6.49vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii2.92-0.76vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University4.74-11.83vs Predicted
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19U. S. Naval Academy3.34-5.22vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-5.95vs Predicted
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21Connecticut College3.02-5.46vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis1.68+0.46vs Predicted
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23Roger Williams University3.07-7.75vs Predicted
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24California State University Channel Islands2.77-6.91vs Predicted
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25University of California at Berkeley2.60-6.96vs Predicted
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26Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-3.12vs Predicted
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28University of Notre Dame1.25-3.27vs Predicted
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29Texas A&M University1.27-4.79vs Predicted
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30Western Washington University2.02-8.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.0College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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11.04Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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16.9University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
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11.18California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.0%1st Place
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20.22University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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9.55Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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5.94Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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12.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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16.98Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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19.84Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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6.09St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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18.11University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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14.31University of Southern California3.160.0%1st Place
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11.77University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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9.51Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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16.24University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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6.17Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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13.78U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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14.05University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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15.54Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
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22.46University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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15.25Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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17.09California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
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18.04University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
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22.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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24.73University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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24.21Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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21.37Western Washington University2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Mace | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack Porter | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Sean Kelly | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Eric Alamillo | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Horrocks | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Brandon Wood | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Michael Menninger | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Stephen Lue | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hester | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Chris Barnard | 12.2% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devin Laviano | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Wells Bacon | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Lee | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 13.7% |
| George Saunders | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Gregory Dair | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Cody Shevitz | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Maher | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 11.8% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 17.6% | 27.5% |
| Robert Long | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 24.6% |
| Bryan Rust | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.