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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.8%
Within 2 Positions
6.0
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.62+11.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego2.19+17.53vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.89+2.92vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.64+8.09vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.69+6.43vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.34+7.63vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+7.43vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.74-1.78vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine2.83+7.44vs Predicted
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10Stanford University4.05-0.52vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California3.16+3.71vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.73+5.38vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands2.77+3.62vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-7.40vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University2.22+4.85vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University4.01-6.45vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-10.91vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.02-2.86vs Predicted
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19California Poly Maritime Academy3.79-7.73vs Predicted
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20University of Hawaii2.92-3.97vs Predicted
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21Roger Williams University3.07-5.88vs Predicted
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22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44-9.33vs Predicted
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23Western Washington University2.02-1.83vs Predicted
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24University of Oregon2.51-5.38vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-2.52vs Predicted
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26University of Notre Dame1.25-1.08vs Predicted
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27Texas A&M University1.27-2.34vs Predicted
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28University of California at Davis1.68-5.51vs Predicted
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30University of California at Berkeley2.60-11.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.11University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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19.53University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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5.92Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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12.09College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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11.43Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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13.63U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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14.43University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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6.22Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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16.44University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
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9.48Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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14.71University of Southern California3.160.0%1st Place
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17.38Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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16.62California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
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6.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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19.85Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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9.55Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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6.09St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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15.14Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
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11.27California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.0%1st Place
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16.03University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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15.12Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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12.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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21.17Western Washington University2.020.0%1st Place
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18.62University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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22.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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24.92University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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24.66Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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22.49University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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18.35University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coleman Bowen | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Tyler Sinks | 11.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Devin Laviano | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Chris Barnard | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Porter | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Lue | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Sachs | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Gregory Dair | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Ingham | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 12.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Bacon | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sean Kelly | 2.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hester | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| George Saunders | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Eric Horrocks | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Rust | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% |
| Philip Gordon | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Maher | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 13.5% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 18.0% | 28.2% |
| Robert Long | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 17.1% | 27.2% |
| Ryan Lee | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 11.9% |
| Cody Shevitz | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.