Race 1A

yale-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alie Toppa 12.7% 15.7% 11.7% 11.3% 10.0% 9.7% 6.5% 6.9% 4.9% 4.0% 3.4% 1.7% 1.3% 0.2%
Louisa Nordstrom 15.0% 11.6% 11.6% 11.7% 10.3% 10.1% 8.4% 7.6% 4.2% 4.5% 1.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
Dana Haig 6.8% 6.1% 8.1% 5.4% 8.0% 6.8% 9.0% 8.6% 9.3% 8.7% 9.1% 7.8% 4.4% 1.9%
Hannah Steadman 9.6% 11.5% 10.6% 11.9% 8.5% 9.9% 8.4% 7.5% 7.5% 6.4% 3.7% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4%
Madelynn Widmeier 3.7% 4.0% 6.3% 6.1% 6.7% 6.4% 6.8% 7.3% 9.0% 9.2% 9.4% 11.0% 9.4% 4.7%
Talia Toland 4.7% 4.0% 5.9% 5.3% 7.0% 6.2% 8.8% 8.4% 7.8% 9.5% 10.4% 8.5% 9.0% 4.5%
Maia Agerup 14.4% 13.5% 12.0% 11.7% 11.6% 7.5% 7.3% 7.9% 4.4% 4.6% 2.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Delaney Bamford 5.5% 4.9% 6.5% 5.7% 5.5% 6.5% 7.2% 6.9% 9.5% 8.5% 10.4% 8.6% 9.2% 5.1%
Lucy Wilmot 5.8% 4.9% 5.6% 5.6% 6.3% 8.0% 8.1% 10.0% 8.8% 8.9% 9.6% 8.6% 6.0% 3.8%
AnaLucia Clarkson 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 1.4% 2.3% 3.1% 4.3% 5.4% 6.7% 8.9% 10.7% 18.5% 31.6%
Emma Marston 2.7% 3.2% 3.1% 3.2% 4.8% 4.7% 6.5% 5.1% 7.0% 8.0% 9.7% 14.5% 15.5% 12.0%
Olivia Keefe 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 2.9% 2.0% 3.2% 3.0% 3.0% 5.0% 5.1% 9.4% 11.9% 17.4% 33.1%
Emma White 8.9% 10.2% 8.0% 10.2% 9.5% 10.1% 8.7% 7.3% 8.3% 7.3% 4.3% 3.8% 2.9% 0.5%
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan 7.0% 6.9% 7.5% 7.7% 8.4% 8.6% 8.2% 9.2% 8.9% 8.6% 7.8% 6.0% 3.4% 1.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.