Race 4A

yale-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Louisa Nordstrom 12.6% 13.6% 12.8% 10.8% 10.0% 10.0% 7.3% 5.6% 5.6% 4.7% 3.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.3%
Hannah Steadman 12.7% 10.7% 11.4% 10.6% 10.0% 8.8% 9.5% 7.3% 7.5% 4.9% 3.1% 1.4% 1.7% 0.4%
Alie Toppa 13.5% 12.8% 12.9% 11.2% 10.2% 9.1% 7.6% 7.3% 5.1% 4.6% 4.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Lucy Wilmot 4.4% 5.5% 7.7% 6.5% 8.2% 5.9% 7.4% 8.5% 9.6% 8.4% 8.5% 8.9% 7.6% 2.9%
Madelynn Widmeier 4.2% 4.5% 5.2% 6.2% 6.1% 6.8% 6.4% 8.5% 7.5% 8.4% 10.7% 11.1% 8.9% 5.5%
Delaney Bamford 5.0% 4.2% 4.4% 6.2% 4.9% 7.3% 7.2% 8.2% 8.9% 10.0% 10.1% 10.2% 7.7% 5.7%
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan 8.0% 8.2% 8.0% 6.3% 8.3% 9.2% 9.3% 7.1% 8.8% 8.3% 6.7% 6.5% 3.7% 1.6%
Maia Agerup 13.1% 13.6% 11.9% 10.4% 11.3% 8.6% 7.1% 6.9% 5.1% 5.3% 3.3% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Dana Haig 6.9% 5.1% 6.1% 8.4% 5.7% 7.8% 8.5% 10.0% 9.6% 9.2% 8.6% 7.8% 4.5% 1.8%
Talia Toland 4.8% 3.9% 5.6% 6.3% 6.7% 6.8% 7.5% 8.3% 7.1% 11.1% 9.0% 9.8% 8.9% 4.2%
Olivia Keefe 1.5% 1.9% 1.4% 1.9% 1.7% 2.1% 3.1% 4.7% 4.8% 5.5% 7.4% 10.6% 18.6% 34.8%
Emma Marston 2.9% 3.1% 3.2% 3.3% 4.6% 4.8% 5.7% 6.9% 6.6% 8.5% 12.2% 12.4% 14.0% 11.8%
Emma White 8.9% 11.0% 7.0% 9.2% 10.9% 10.2% 9.2% 6.2% 8.3% 5.6% 6.4% 3.9% 2.2% 1.0%
AnaLucia Clarkson 1.5% 1.9% 2.4% 2.7% 1.4% 2.6% 4.2% 4.5% 5.5% 5.5% 6.7% 11.4% 19.9% 29.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.