Race 5A

yale-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emma White 9.0% 9.9% 10.5% 8.8% 9.5% 9.3% 8.1% 7.9% 8.1% 5.7% 5.1% 4.5% 2.5% 1.1%
Madelynn Widmeier 5.0% 5.0% 7.4% 5.8% 6.2% 5.8% 7.5% 7.7% 8.2% 10.5% 10.2% 7.9% 7.8% 5.0%
Talia Toland 5.5% 5.3% 5.9% 7.1% 5.3% 6.4% 5.3% 8.2% 9.1% 9.2% 9.9% 10.7% 7.8% 4.3%
Louisa Nordstrom 11.8% 12.1% 11.7% 12.1% 10.2% 9.5% 9.1% 6.7% 5.8% 5.1% 3.1% 1.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Alie Toppa 11.3% 14.3% 13.1% 11.1% 8.8% 9.9% 7.6% 7.4% 6.1% 4.3% 3.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.4%
Hannah Steadman 10.8% 10.2% 9.8% 10.8% 10.1% 10.1% 8.6% 8.1% 5.7% 6.4% 4.6% 2.6% 2.0% 0.2%
Lucy Wilmot 5.9% 8.1% 6.1% 5.6% 8.6% 6.9% 8.1% 8.1% 8.2% 9.5% 8.1% 8.4% 5.9% 2.5%
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan 7.8% 7.1% 7.8% 7.1% 7.3% 7.6% 8.3% 10.3% 7.1% 8.1% 8.0% 5.5% 5.1% 2.9%
Delaney Bamford 5.1% 4.8% 3.8% 6.2% 4.9% 7.0% 7.1% 8.8% 9.9% 9.5% 9.6% 10.2% 8.9% 4.2%
Dana Haig 6.8% 5.9% 4.8% 7.5% 9.0% 7.1% 8.6% 7.8% 10.0% 9.0% 7.7% 7.5% 5.4% 2.9%
Maia Agerup 14.6% 10.4% 12.8% 9.5% 10.9% 8.7% 9.1% 6.9% 5.4% 3.9% 3.7% 2.7% 1.3% 0.1%
AnaLucia Clarkson 1.6% 2.3% 1.1% 2.0% 2.1% 3.1% 3.6% 3.4% 5.0% 5.8% 7.5% 11.5% 18.2% 32.8%
Olivia Keefe 1.8% 1.7% 1.3% 2.4% 2.9% 2.5% 3.2% 3.0% 5.1% 5.5% 6.9% 11.2% 18.8% 33.7%
Emma Marston 3.0% 2.9% 3.9% 4.0% 4.2% 6.1% 5.8% 5.7% 6.3% 7.5% 12.0% 14.1% 14.7% 9.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.