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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+5.16vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+4.05vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.89+2.91vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.62+8.18vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.34+8.41vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.05+3.49vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California3.16+7.90vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-1.38vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy3.79+1.67vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+3.90vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University4.01-1.16vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.73+5.31vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University2.02+7.74vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.64-2.51vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.69-3.77vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.07-1.34vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine2.83-0.24vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley2.60-0.63vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College3.02-3.33vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75+2.22vs Predicted
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21University of Hawaii2.92-5.04vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego2.19-2.14vs Predicted
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23Santa Clara University2.36-3.71vs Predicted
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24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44-10.91vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis1.68-2.30vs Predicted
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26University of Notre Dame1.25-1.22vs Predicted
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27University of Oregon1.97-5.56vs Predicted
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29Texas A&M University1.27-4.92vs Predicted
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30California State University Channel Islands2.77-12.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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6.05Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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5.91Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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12.18University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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13.41U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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9.49Stanford University4.050.0%1st Place
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14.9University of Southern California3.160.0%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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10.67California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.1%1st Place
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13.9University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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9.84Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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17.31Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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20.74Western Washington University2.020.0%1st Place
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11.49College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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11.23Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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14.66Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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16.76University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
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17.37University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
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15.67Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
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22.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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15.96University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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19.86University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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19.29Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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13.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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22.7University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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24.78University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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21.44University of Oregon1.970.0%1st Place
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24.08Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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17.21California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Menninger | 11.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 13.4% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 10.0% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Devin Laviano | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Lue | 2.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Ingham | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kelly | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Bryan Rust | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% |
| Mac Mace | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Saunders | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Porter | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Cody Shevitz | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Wells Bacon | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Maher | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 9.4% |
| Zachary Hester | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Lindsay Grove | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Eric Horrocks | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Lee | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 13.3% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 16.8% | 27.1% |
| Andrew Balter | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% |
| Robert Long | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 23.7% |
| Gregory Dair | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.