Race 8A

yale-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Hannah Steadman 11.0% 11.7% 11.7% 10.9% 9.1% 9.7% 8.6% 6.4% 5.6% 6.1% 3.8% 3.3% 1.7% 0.4%
Dana Haig 7.2% 7.8% 6.5% 7.9% 7.8% 8.8% 6.7% 8.1% 9.5% 8.3% 7.8% 7.2% 4.9% 1.5%
Alie Toppa 14.3% 13.3% 11.3% 10.8% 11.0% 8.6% 7.6% 7.5% 6.1% 4.2% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Lucy Wilmot 4.7% 4.9% 7.6% 6.3% 6.8% 6.6% 7.4% 9.2% 9.5% 8.5% 10.2% 7.6% 7.3% 3.4%
Emma White 7.4% 9.1% 8.7% 10.5% 9.5% 8.2% 8.8% 8.9% 7.5% 7.7% 7.1% 2.9% 2.4% 1.3%
Madelynn Widmeier 5.0% 4.7% 4.7% 4.6% 6.3% 6.4% 8.3% 7.8% 7.2% 9.4% 9.6% 11.3% 9.8% 4.9%
Delaney Bamford 5.1% 5.9% 6.0% 6.6% 5.6% 6.7% 7.9% 9.1% 8.3% 7.9% 9.3% 10.7% 6.7% 4.2%
Louisa Nordstrom 14.0% 12.4% 11.1% 10.9% 10.4% 9.0% 8.2% 6.1% 5.3% 6.1% 3.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.4%
Maia Agerup 12.8% 12.3% 11.4% 11.5% 9.7% 10.7% 7.9% 6.8% 6.5% 4.3% 3.4% 1.3% 1.3% 0.1%
AnaLucia Clarkson 1.9% 1.1% 2.2% 2.0% 1.8% 1.8% 3.6% 4.2% 5.2% 7.0% 6.6% 12.2% 18.4% 32.0%
Emma Marston 3.2% 2.8% 3.1% 3.0% 5.0% 5.7% 5.4% 5.5% 6.1% 8.5% 9.8% 12.9% 17.1% 11.9%
Olivia Keefe 1.1% 1.9% 1.7% 1.8% 2.4% 2.5% 2.8% 3.5% 4.5% 6.2% 8.9% 11.7% 17.6% 33.4%
Talia Toland 5.1% 5.4% 5.2% 6.5% 5.7% 7.3% 8.5% 7.8% 10.3% 7.0% 9.7% 9.5% 7.3% 4.7%
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan 7.2% 6.7% 8.8% 6.7% 8.9% 8.0% 8.3% 9.1% 8.4% 8.8% 7.7% 6.1% 3.6% 1.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.